0x30e82fcdd37642263b3ed48998aa0f7aa02501f0
0x30e82fcdd37642263b3ed48998aa0f7aa02501f0
- Realised P&L
- $137.95
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $97.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.644 | $86.73 | +$61.73 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $11.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.18at 0.291Will Rangers FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$46.00at 0.018Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.68at 0.166Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$38.70at 0.233Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?
- +$24.91at 0.131Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 17:27 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.6 | $7.50 |
| 10-17 16:45 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 14:09 | Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 13:59 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 13:25 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.84 | $32.00 |
| 10-17 11:31 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.209999995 | $8.00 |
| 10-14 20:49 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9165522621 | $29.38 |
| 10-14 19:34 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.22 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.04 | $0.67 |
| 10-14 19:08 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:07 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.279999986 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 19:06 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 19:46 | Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |