newkamikaze
0x30d87a84759d0e5ae7caadc2218345b419cb29ec
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $74.0k
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $30.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.39at 0.158Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$217.52at 0.041Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$180.69at 0.277Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?
- +$155.75at 0.426Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 5?
- +$122.20at 0.196Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.08 |
| 09-20 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.59 |
| 09-20 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.47 |
| 09-20 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.08 |
| 09-19 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.53 |
| 09-19 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.17 |
| 09-19 20:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1266777409 | $3.81 |
| 09-19 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 09-19 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.4428571429 | $12.40 |
| 09-19 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.78 |
| 09-19 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.27 |
| 09-19 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5011827469 | $22.08 |
| 09-19 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.13 |