newkamikaze
0x30d87a84759d0e5ae7caadc2218345b419cb29ec
- Realised P&L
- $619.29
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Markets traded
- 225
- Open portfolio
- $28.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded225
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.35at 0.155Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$217.55at 0.041Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$180.81at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?
- +$123.23at 0.189Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?
- +$116.22at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1611111111 | $4.35 |
| 08-04 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.45 |
| 08-04 20:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-04 20:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.49 |
| 08-04 20:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0063821169 | $0.17 |
| 08-04 20:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 20:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.45 |
| 08-04 20:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 19:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.63 |
| 08-01 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.1653350297 | $3.90 |
| 07-31 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.9950651163 | $106.97 |
| 07-29 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.92 |
| 07-29 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.2434774067 | $6.20 |
| 07-29 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.3 | $0.17 |