Danny18888
0x30c47001b752b3468181de5a6f9015a248bca482
- Realised P&L
- $2.91
- Volume
- $586.03
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $123.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $123.05 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.47at 0.973Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?
- +$0.25at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 26?
- +$0.12at 0.999Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?
- +$0.08at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999928 | $122.99 |
| 09-27 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.87 |
| 09-26 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $94.61 |
| 09-25 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.971474253 | $92.00 |
| 09-25 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.69 |