PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x30C0702781f9aAFeDb09A4e0421aacFdE19BcdA7-1761369986129

0x30c0702781f9aafedb09a4e0421aacfde19bcda7

Realised P&L
$-18.82
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? · Yes0.6000.095$2.85−$15.15
Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? · No0.0880.000$0.00−$17.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-29 22:31Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?SELL0.997$5.14
12-29 22:31Will Dijon win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.61$1.52
12-29 22:30Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.9951452393$100.86
12-04 09:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7599999514$8.75
11-28 07:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7099999917$13.75
11-25 22:41Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.949$13.75
11-25 22:38Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?BUY0.060551105$7.94
11-23 22:08Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8099999917$10.80
11-19 22:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9299999837$22.81
11-17 21:22Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?BUY0.001$1.00
11-15 16:51Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?SELL0.954$19.08
11-14 17:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9$10.00
11-13 06:29Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?SELL0.9$18.00
11-13 03:05US bank failure by March 31?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
11-13 03:04US bank failure by March 31?BUY0.5059457427$2.60