0x30bec61017c97567449bcf51c7acdc705145beed
- Realised P&L
- $-68.03
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $45.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.11at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$9.14at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$7.24at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$4.59at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$4.40at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:01 | Solana Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9539999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9509999977 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9539999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9599998771 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9529999485 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9509999977 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $4.90 |
| 09-16 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.81 |