PolyBot

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Traders

AuspiciousArt

0x30b7b487e35fb985427bfa2d85194207158de81c

Realised P&L
$33.4k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$34.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8080.895$24.2k+$2.4k
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.835$4.2k+$125.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8080.961$3.7k+$582.53
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$2.4k$12.97
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.002$7.50$87.50
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 17:49Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.94$2.4k
08-26 17:46Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$4.1k
06-23 20:21Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.984$157.10
06-23 20:19Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9862272886$8.5k
06-23 20:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9898126337$2.6k
06-23 20:08Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.992$500.96
06-23 20:07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.997$12.0k
06-23 20:07Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.991$2.7k
06-23 20:06Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.999$10.0k
06-17 06:03Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9669681667$11.6k
06-11 16:03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9816776375$11.8k
06-06 06:16Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.9777375295$31.3k
06-06 05:50Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$3.2k
06-06 05:49Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$3.6k
06-06 05:49Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$4.0k