0x30b1472fd1af29d838b9bcb943b188b1773bef17
0x30b1472fd1af29d838b9bcb943b188b1773bef17
- Realised P&L
- $-424.69
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $630.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.480 | 1.000 | $299.85 | +$155.85 |
| Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $98.84 | −$1.00 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.675 | $67.50 | +$23.50 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.675 | $67.50 | +$18.50 |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $50.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.465 | $46.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$49.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.89at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11AM ET
- +$205.96at 0.555Lightning vs. Panthers
- +$169.95at 0.575Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25?
- +$159.06at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6AM ET
- +$109.32at 0.322Will Brusque FC SC vs. Ferroviaria Araraquara SP end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:13 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-28 19:13 | Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $99.84 |
| 09-28 18:11 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-28 18:10 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 09-28 16:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 09-28 10:18 | Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 09-28 10:13 | Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 10:12 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.549999999 | $28.00 |
| 09-27 22:51 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-27 22:44 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 22:23 | Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 09-27 22:00 | Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.1131 | $22.62 |
| 09-27 20:49 | Will CSD Mixco win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4299999983 | $42.00 |
| 09-27 20:39 | Will Brusque FC SC vs. Ferroviaria Araraquara SP end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 20:28 | Will Defensor Sporting win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4199999998 | $68.00 |