w1n3r
0x30ae3992180b30b791df5e6e5480629449594318
- Realised P&L
- $-18.8k
- Volume
- $20.86M
- Markets traded
- 1,998
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,998
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally · Linda Noskova | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.725 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko · Leylah Fernandez | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$555.00 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Pablo Varillas · Murkel Dellien | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics · Los Angeles Angels | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.9k |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen · Alex Michelsen | 0.789 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
| Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue · Noma Noha Akugue | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng · Madison Keys | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi · Jaime Faria | 0.895 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron · Marcos Giron | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.9kat 0.996Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$23.0kat 0.447Florida vs. Houston
- +$19.6kat 0.894Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
- +$15.7kat 0.829Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$14.8kat 0.869Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:21 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.35 | $1.8k |
| 10-26 02:09 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.89 | $4.7k |
| 10-25 05:50 | Houston vs. Utah | SELL | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 10-20 17:50 | Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie | SELL | 0.92 | $6.8k |
| 10-12 02:08 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.8 | $4.0k |
| 10-11 23:17 | Broncos vs. Chargers | SELL | 0.999 | $0.01 |
| 10-10 03:47 | Iowa vs. Washington | SELL | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 09-30 15:52 | China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua | SELL | 0.999 | $4.5k |
| 09-29 03:54 | Jingshan: Kristina Mladenovic vs Sofia Costoulas | SELL | 0.92 | $45.99 |
| 09-29 01:37 | Eagles vs. Bears | SELL | 0.56 | $4.8k |
| 09-29 01:00 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.45 | $3.8k |
| 09-28 03:56 | Rams vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 09-28 03:44 | Rams vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.85 | $327.25 |
| 09-28 03:32 | Rams vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.54 | $7.1k |
| 09-25 02:44 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.98 | $15.1k |