jospacasure
0x30a4439e2c5acf69dc4214ae4387724e6ad45598
- Realised P&L
- $-48.38
- Volume
- $584.84
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.285 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.17at 0.211Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$13.41at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$6.22at 0.452Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:01 | Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.3069306852 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 04:00 | Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:21 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:20 | Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:17 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 08:02 | Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:52 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:50 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2058823227 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:49 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:49 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:49 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 07:48 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 07:47 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 07:45 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 07:43 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |