0x309eb8b4835f97db9ada3781efec2e04558223fc
0x309eb8b4835f97db9ada3781efec2e04558223fc
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $429.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State · Missouri | 0.380 | 0.555 | $241.51 | +$76.15 |
| Oregon vs. USC · USC | 0.360 | 0.305 | $118.95 | −$21.45 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu | 0.710 | 1.000 | $66.97 | +$19.40 |
| Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.160 | $2.34 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.020Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
- +$895.52at 0.310Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24?
- +$515.62at 0.582St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur
- +$369.09at 0.274UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$357.71at 0.084Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 02:11 | Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.25 |
| 09-27 02:03 | Missouri vs. Mississippi State | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $165.36 |
| 09-27 01:27 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.93 |
| 09-27 01:27 | Will Atlanta United FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $134.70 |
| 09-27 01:27 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.14 | $66.92 |
| 09-27 00:52 | UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $47.57 |
| 09-27 00:26 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.36 | $140.40 |
| 09-27 00:16 | Wisconsin vs. Penn State | BUY | 0.5987175651 | $287.96 |
| 09-26 23:53 | UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3 | $21.90 |
| 09-26 23:52 | UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.47 | $25.85 |
| 09-26 23:51 | UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3671794872 | $14.32 |
| 09-26 23:45 | UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.23 | $93.61 |
| 09-26 23:02 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.0702135026 | $30.42 |
| 09-26 23:02 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.09 | $10.33 |
| 09-26 23:02 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $42.28 |