Magniv123
0x309a8418d01a99d4346692afd99c7db330c393d3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.70
- Volume
- $640.12
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.595 | $5.71 | +$0.43 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.076 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.006 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.090Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.64at 0.290Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 02:38 | Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.0048295681 | $1.10 |
| 09-27 02:37 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.54 |
| 09-27 02:36 | Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:36 | Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.0539999986 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:35 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-27 02:33 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.58 |
| 09-26 21:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $8.58 |
| 09-20 11:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.289999999 | $8.58 |
| 09-20 10:58 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.09 | $8.58 |
| 08-26 17:29 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0899999908 | $8.58 |
| 08-26 17:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.58 |
| 08-21 08:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999818 | $9.22 |