0x309773db39671CAED0b81BC171100e1F61534C44-1777541920942
0x309773db39671caed0b81bc171100e1f61534c44
- Realised P&L
- $-29.60
- Volume
- $779.56
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $2.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.73at 0.376Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$1.63at 0.386Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$1.49at 0.407Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$1.34at 0.437Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$1.31at 0.437Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 09:02 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 09:02 | Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:38 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.03 |
| 08-28 11:38 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.10 |
| 08-24 07:49 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 07:49 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 07:48 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.01 |
| 08-24 07:48 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.947 | $1.05 |
| 08-17 13:48 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 13:48 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.03 |
| 08-16 06:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.05 |
| 08-13 06:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 06:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 18:06 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.16 |