PhiloDrunk
0x3095282f2784c62cfa60d3cbc949729d57767486
- Realised P&L
- $-0.59
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $27.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.84at 0.640Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
- +$15.38at 0.420Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$15.00at 0.500Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
- +$13.43at 0.552Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$12.82at 0.240Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:48 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.419999979 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Giants vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 07:36 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 09-24 07:36 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 07:35 | Titans vs. Giants | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-24 07:35 | Texans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-24 07:33 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-24 07:32 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 07:11 | Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-16 07:09 | Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.26 |
| 09-16 07:04 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.28 |