PolyBot

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Traders

Stuhlmann-Mao

0x3093fe5a949d5e9b8f222f56eee4a55c429a46e8

Realised P&L
$3.21
Volume
$835.49
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$52.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6080.625$11.31+$0.31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.988$10.27+$0.27
Plague pandemic in 2026? · No0.9770.978$10.01+$0.01
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · Yes0.6100.998$8.18+$3.18
Will Trump say "Coal" or "Diesel" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · Yes0.8000.999$6.24+$1.24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9300.915$4.92−$0.08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8000.885$1.11+$0.11
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:58Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9769999555$10.00
10-14 09:57Will Trump say "Coal" or "Diesel" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.8$5.00
10-14 09:57Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
10-14 09:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-14 09:492026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199999864$10.00
05-13 12:41Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.4899999894$3.24
05-04 08:23Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9779996857$2.29
05-04 08:21Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
04-14 11:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.8999999602$11.31
04-01 08:29Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.65$2.17
04-01 08:28US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
04-01 08:25Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.91$1.00
04-01 08:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.9099995859$2.00
04-01 08:212026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5099998317$1.00
03-31 15:44Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.45$1.04