0x3091a23f3329fc5b7430b3ec6a5557366a2b98d9
0x3091a23f3329fc5b7430b3ec6a5557366a2b98d9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.07
- Volume
- $179.46
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $43.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins · Chiefs | 0.850 | 0.845 | $14.73 | −$0.09 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Bills | 0.760 | 0.755 | $9.80 | −$0.06 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.600 | $9.67 | −$0.16 |
| Set Handicap: Fabian Marozsan (-1.5) vs Taro Daniel (+1.5) · Taro Daniel | 0.500 | 0.535 | $9.55 | +$0.62 |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) · Packers | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.530Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5
- +$8.54at 0.500Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown
- +$-10.35at 0.700Falcons vs. Packers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:22 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.8499999971 | $14.82 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7599999938 | $9.86 |
| 09-25 03:24 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.6099999795 | $9.83 |
| 09-25 02:39 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5 | SELL | 0.25 | $1.77 |
| 09-25 02:28 | Spread: Packers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.0287199664 | $1.03 |
| 09-25 02:14 | Falcons vs. Packers | SELL | 0.21 | $4.43 |
| 09-24 22:11 | Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | BUY | 0.5299999989 | $9.81 |
| 09-24 21:23 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.6999999905 | $14.78 |