0x30873A50a4daa8C01E6aF3B60B49fA3BaFC37F12-1769018178334
0x30873a50a4daa8c01e6af3b60b49fa3bafc37f12
- Realised P&L
- $64.24
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $29.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $19.90 | −$0.11 |
| Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger · Michael Zheng | 0.890 | 0.885 | $9.95 | −$0.06 |
| Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
| Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade · Daniel Jade | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.83at 0.661Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$13.76at 0.677Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda Bennani
- +$13.28at 0.677Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Moise Kouame vs Ugo Humbert
- +$12.49at 0.627US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy
- +$12.42at 0.113Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:54 | Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger | BUY | 0.89 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 11:44 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.94 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Rennes: Daniel Rincon vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.76 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:28 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 09:52 | Szczecin: Kilian Feldbausch vs Kai Wehnelt | BUY | 0.82 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:38 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.94 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 20:04 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.49 |
| 09-14 11:10 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 10:47 | Tiburon: J.J. Wolf vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | BUY | 0.93 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:37 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.86 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 11:16 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 20:03 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.89 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 13:31 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.81 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 15:35 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.93 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 20:48 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti | SELL | 0.29 | $6.17 |