Joben
0x30848403944261dca905f301e15ed653e0690209
- Realised P&L
- $43.67
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $19.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.50at 0.080US bank failure by January 31?
- +$48.76at 0.093Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$45.00at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$27.11at 0.788Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$26.25at 0.160Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 12:26 | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 14:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 02:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1929999863 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 13:25 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 13:24 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:09 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:55 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:53 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.0226147615 | $0.50 |
| 07-10 22:45 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 22:45 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 08:16 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 08:14 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 08:13 | Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:09 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:54 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |