0x30807a8943f6b8698bf5900b68d66066f0ca0f17
0x30807a8943f6b8698bf5900b68d66066f0ca0f17
- Realised P&L
- $-66.01
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $32.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.20at 0.050Solana Up or Down - February 23, 5PM ET
- +$9.50at 0.240Solana Up or Down on February 15?
- +$7.54at 0.090Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$6.90at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$6.66at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:37 | Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1131567878 | $5.92 |
| 10-03 13:58 | Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0886983051 | $7.85 |
| 10-03 13:58 | Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0660008335 | $3.96 |
| 10-02 12:59 | Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.13 |
| 10-02 12:58 | Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.99 |
| 09-26 21:51 | Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.60 |
| 04-09 10:22 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 04-07 16:34 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.53 |
| 03-10 23:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.63 |
| 03-10 23:39 | Solana Up or Down - March 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 23:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $0.99 |
| 03-10 23:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.99 |
| 03-10 23:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 23:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.229999851 | $1.03 |
| 03-10 23:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |