0x308068929Da7c9d04e84d9d5DC65829Ec74afa4a-1763727079446
0x308068929da7c9d04e84d9d5dc65829ec74afa4a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 782
- Open portfolio
- $153.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded782
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.099Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$1.7kat 0.086Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
- +$1.4kat 0.056Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$1.2kat 0.057Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 December 8-14?
- +$1.2kat 0.169Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $55.96 |
| 09-17 16:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.27 | $34.02 |
| 09-17 16:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.92 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.78 |
| 09-17 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.07 | $55.23 |
| 09-17 11:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $16.38 |
| 09-17 11:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $165.32 |
| 09-17 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $92.95 |
| 09-16 20:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.19 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.66 | $12.34 |
| 09-16 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.024 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.87 |
| 09-16 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.027 | $4.86 |
| 09-16 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.49 |