0x307ea4ec50282d38c19b7064c8e5c1dae148a827
0x307ea4ec50282d38c19b7064c8e5c1dae148a827
- Realised P&L
- $-961.07
- Volume
- $72.2k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $382.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? · No | 0.385 | 0.845 | $219.48 | +$119.48 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.235 | $71.56 | +$10.66 |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.146 | $38.57 | +$1.57 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.375 | $20.54 | −$2.46 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $10.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.035 | $8.04 | −$15.96 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.040 | $6.22 | −$7.78 |
| Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.015 | $5.38 | −$3.62 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.591 | 0.273 | $2.31 | −$2.69 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.73at 0.375US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- +$212.73at 0.178US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti
- +$167.48at 0.199Set 1 Winner: Golubic vs Parry
- +$166.82at 0.230Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?
- +$157.20at 0.271Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:07 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.3399999996 | $51.22 |
| 10-12 07:54 | Set 2 Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $22.00 |
| 10-12 05:16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.2544670169 | $24.01 |
| 10-11 19:44 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.28 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 10-11 13:36 | Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.5499999984 | $34.00 |
| 10-11 13:10 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999999 | $39.98 |
| 10-11 13:09 | Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $50.01 |
| 10-11 13:07 | China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $77.05 |
| 10-11 11:01 | Set 1 Winner: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.2598585152 | $49.40 |
| 10-11 01:01 | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6899999973 | $48.23 |
| 10-11 00:59 | Will Matheus Camilo win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4099999956 | $29.98 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.629999996 | $55.72 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6390627606 | $58.43 |
| 10-10 17:52 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4299999934 | $22.08 |