PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ilyiaa

0x307bc2268068e8b25cc183c515e24d152319f692

Realised P&L
$-136.29
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$172.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.375$172.50$213.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-03 08:57Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8680431191$401.76
01-12 08:00Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY0.9049398721$363.57
01-12 07:59EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.9439663248$363.57
01-02 11:05EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.9884481384$380.71
12-02 08:57Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?BUY0.989$376.52
11-24 12:12Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?SELL0.9869989$98.70
11-11 07:29Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.981$164.63
11-05 06:44Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.9799999975$164.47
11-05 06:43Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$2.1k
11-04 12:19Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.988$2.1k
10-28 08:28Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?BUY0.9939999983$123.72
10-28 08:27Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.99$123.72
10-23 10:23Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.996$124.47
10-23 10:21Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.995$2.5k
10-23 09:36Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.996$2.5k