0x30760827Ba22240888360093e151BF9952040E4A-1767964513918
0x30760827ba22240888360093e151bf9952040e4a
- Realised P&L
- $454.44
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $259.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.013 | $259.64 | +$59.64 |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Shifters | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.59 |
| Will FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.15 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1) · Team Vitality | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Team Vitality | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.86at 0.030Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$129.32at 0.542Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$60.00at 0.415LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$55.10at 0.609LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$52.50at 0.160Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 15:13 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0096287634 | $200.00 |
| 06-02 15:11 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0706493246 | $533.68 |
| 05-31 17:37 | LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.3370508015 | $40.00 |
| 05-30 10:28 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999918 | $17.99 |
| 05-30 10:27 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.043 | $19.10 |
| 05-22 21:54 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $28.16 |
| 05-22 21:52 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.54 |
| 05-22 13:11 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $18.00 |
| 04-19 10:16 | LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.629999988 | $9.78 |
| 04-19 10:16 | Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | SELL | 0.2309777083 | $11.81 |
| 04-18 12:19 | Will FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $4.77 |
| 04-18 12:18 | Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? | BUY | 0.2539999878 | $14.33 |
| 04-14 08:30 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269999983 | $15.00 |
| 04-13 08:56 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0323739386 | $25.00 |
| 04-12 16:06 | LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $24.33 |