0x30758c32ec36b7dcbf17efd6eed71dff082d5fe4
0x30758c32ec36b7dcbf17efd6eed71dff082d5fe4
- Realised P&L
- $-394.08
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $106.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.62at 0.674Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
- +$39.28at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$33.71at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$22.47at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$18.93at 0.591Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.3899999871 | $1.51 |
| 10-15 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.7099998734 | $1.57 |
| 10-15 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.51 |
| 10-15 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.966 | $4.12 |
| 10-15 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-15 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.03 |
| 10-15 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.1199999917 | $1.15 |
| 10-15 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.95 |
| 10-15 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |