PolyBot

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Traders

0x30758c32ec36b7dcbf17efd6eed71dff082d5fe4

0x30758c32ec36b7dcbf17efd6eed71dff082d5fe4

Realised P&L
$-394.08
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$106.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15? · Yes0.2280.998$10.37+$8.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16? · Yes0.3550.360$7.61+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 16? · No0.6540.715$6.09+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 15? · No0.5080.705$4.16+$1.16
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 16? · No0.6280.590$3.76−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16? · Yes0.4000.675$3.38+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16? · Yes0.3140.215$3.09−$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15? · Yes0.3301.000$3.03+$2.03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16? · No0.7730.765$2.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15? · No0.6801.000$2.94+$0.94
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 15? · Yes0.3700.540$2.92+$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 16? · No0.7600.775$2.65+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? · Yes0.3770.385$2.56+$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 16? · Yes0.1330.325$2.44+$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15? · Yes0.4000.570$2.42+$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 16:11Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-15 16:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16?BUY0.3899999871$1.51
10-15 15:11Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?BUY0.32$2.00
10-15 15:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-15 15:11Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 16?BUY0.7099998734$1.57
10-15 14:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?SELL0.999$4.51
10-15 14:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 16?BUY0.469999906$2.00
10-15 14:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?SELL0.966$4.12
10-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?BUY0.1$0.50
10-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?SELL0.62$2.03
10-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-15 12:12Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.1199999917$1.15
10-15 12:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?BUY0.5899999546$1.95
10-15 12:12Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 16?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-15 12:12Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 16?BUY0.1399999832$1.00