eper
0x3074e114dd3c1a00c57d716e445e91af2138bae5
- Realised P&L
- $-66.48
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $38.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.110 | 0.415 | $24.90 | +$18.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.285 | $8.55 | +$2.62 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.076 | $3.83 | −$5.17 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.085 | $1.60 | −$1.40 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.01at 0.577Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
- +$33.20at 0.596Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
- +$21.19at 0.581Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
- +$20.96at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$18.02at 0.577Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.1975233333 | $5.93 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 09-30 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 09-29 17:26 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 09-29 17:24 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 09-29 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 09-24 18:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-17 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $2.59 |
| 09-16 18:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $27.50 |