PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eper

0x3074e114dd3c1a00c57d716e445e91af2138bae5

Realised P&L
$-66.48
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$38.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1100.415$24.90+$18.30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? · Yes0.1980.285$8.55+$2.62
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.076$3.83−$5.17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1590.085$1.60−$1.40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$8.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$8.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:44Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?BUY0.1975233333$5.93
09-30 20:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 1?SELL0.24$7.20
09-30 20:25Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 1?BUY0.27$8.10
09-29 17:28Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.1$6.00
09-29 17:26Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.11$6.60
09-29 17:24Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.11$6.60
09-29 17:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30?BUY0.29$8.70
09-24 18:37Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?BUY0.64$50.00
09-17 22:32Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.47$4.70
09-17 20:38Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18?BUY0.8$30.00
09-16 18:22Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSELL0.15$2.59
09-16 18:21Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-16 18:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
09-16 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-16 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSELL0.77$27.50