0x307383F3EE059Dbb7fE756bEB14fee70bF2EF774-1786434351072
0x307383f3ee059dbb7fe756beb14fee70bf2ef774
- Realised P&L
- $-32.28
- Volume
- $509.53
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $25.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.290 | $13.92 | −$6.84 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.964 | $10.60 | +$1.03 |
| Will Ryan Blaney win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.100 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.006 | $0.13 | −$2.27 |
| Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.024 | $0.12 | −$4.13 |
| Will Chennedy Carter have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.022 | $0.11 | −$2.79 |
| Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
| Will Zane Smith win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.706Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.987Will Alex Palou win the 2026 NTT IndyCar Series?
- +$-0.13at 0.080Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.32at 0.021Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$-5.90at 0.469Will Chase Elliott win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 10:41 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-26 09:48 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 08-26 09:47 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 08-26 09:31 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-26 09:06 | Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.8479998468 | $4.25 |
| 08-26 08:28 | Will Chennedy Carter have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.5779999203 | $2.90 |
| 08-26 02:21 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.22 |
| 08-25 09:27 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1129999061 | $1.20 |
| 08-25 08:49 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1149999219 | $1.20 |
| 08-24 09:42 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 08-24 09:39 | Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.0012452632 | $0.02 |
| 08-24 09:06 | Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.002555 | $0.03 |
| 08-24 09:02 | Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 08-24 08:50 | Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 08-24 07:45 | Will Erik Jones win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.3302740074 | $11.25 |