PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

C1-12-ballenas

0x3067fecf27edd852bd6f6beae4db025dae5ad85b

Realised P&L
$7.97
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$39.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.4000.395$19.75−$0.25
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.145$7.25+$0.25
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 221.5 · Under0.5000.920$3.68+$1.68
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles0.5400.535$3.47−$0.03
Spread: Pacers (-4.5) · Nets0.5600.655$2.34+$0.34
Spread: Celtics (-9.5) · Celtics0.4300.470$2.19+$0.19
Will Democrats win fewer than 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0160.015$0.72−$0.07
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Bilibili Gaming0.7600.000$0.00−$3.50
Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$1.02
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 · Under0.5400.000$0.00−$3.50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · MOUZ0.6000.000$0.00−$3.50
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) · MOUZ0.3300.000$0.00−$3.50
Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns0.4000.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage · Spirit0.7900.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:57Spread: Pacers (-4.5)BUY0.56$2.00
11-01 20:15Spread: Celtics (-9.5)BUY0.43$2.00
11-01 19:54Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.49$14.70
11-01 19:54Will Cusco FC vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?BUY0.35$3.50
11-01 19:54Will Cusco FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.14$4.20
11-01 19:51Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5BUY0.55$2.00
11-01 19:28Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.4$20.00
11-01 19:28Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$7.00
11-01 19:28Will Democrats win fewer than 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.016$0.80
11-01 19:00Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5BUY0.49$2.00
11-01 17:55Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.37$9.53
11-01 17:02Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 221.5BUY0.5$2.00
11-01 16:16Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.43$2.00
11-01 15:57Spread: Commanders (-6.5)BUY0.54$3.50
11-01 08:39Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.26$1.31