win20260726
0x3060f91610bf78326e751fa1f2c763db83e04beb
- Realised P&L
- $749.40
- Volume
- $616.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,724
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,724
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.73at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12?
- +$12.47at 0.991Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
- +$12.36at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2?
- +$9.10at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 3?
- +$9.00at 0.991Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 21:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.62 |
| 09-16 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.84 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.51 |
| 09-16 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-16 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.57 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.63 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.99 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.35 |
| 09-16 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |