0x305d49ba35e793fc881205cbe6dc86c26118a0df
- Realised P&L
- $-55.86
- Volume
- $60.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $43.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $19.50 | −$45.50 |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $10.64 | +$3.55 |
| Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.931 | $7.13 | +$0.39 |
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.949 | $5.86 | +$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.99at 0.006Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$8.50at 0.830Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
- +$0.35at 0.993Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
- +$0.07at 0.990Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 01:06 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $84.00 |
| 02-21 10:34 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $63.94 |
| 02-21 10:34 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.988 | $63.82 |
| 02-04 04:54 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $64.09 |
| 01-06 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 01-06 05:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.00 |
| 12-09 01:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.91 |
| 11-20 06:17 | Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 11-17 07:30 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 11-12 07:31 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 11-12 07:31 | Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |