0x30589de67603fed56de169f7ad9fe0551e56c888
0x30589de67603fed56de169f7ad9fe0551e56c888
- Realised P&L
- $8.18
- Volume
- $232.01
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.495 | $1.77 | +$0.77 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.375 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.445 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.655 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.530 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.345 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.050 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.227Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.04at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.67at 0.308Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$2.67at 0.379Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$2.45at 0.400Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:48 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:26 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:27 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:32 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:41 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:17 | Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 11:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999938 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 03:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4499999151 | $1.59 |
| 09-21 07:08 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999751 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999814 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 04:08 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999814 | $1.59 |