PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Manislandguy

0x30528a263072ee7a8d1a5a6b12b8e9ed02b5d389

Realised P&L
$145.22
Volume
$67.9k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$49.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 10? · No0.9990.996$49.77−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:55Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 10?BUY0.999$49.95
09-18 13:57Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 21?BUY0.999$99.90
08-12 05:15Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 14?BUY0.999$224.78
08-12 05:15Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 14?BUY0.9986865204$318.58
08-05 04:17Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 9?BUY0.9962883946$426.40
07-28 02:44Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 30?BUY0.999$541.46
07-24 04:55Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 26?BUY0.999$541.46
07-15 07:17Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 17?BUY0.999$214.78
07-15 07:17Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 17?BUY0.999$214.78
07-08 06:57Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 10?BUY0.999$410.29
07-05 06:54Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,100 and $1,200 on July 7?BUY0.999$228.77
07-05 06:54Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 7?BUY0.999$311.65
07-01 08:01Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 3?BUY0.9985348837$214.68
07-01 08:00Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 3?BUY0.999$324.68
06-24 08:13Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 26?BUY0.997$99.70