PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nucis

0x304cf4454c73cbc8550b279f5fbd05cc406db1ca

Realised P&L
$-84.04
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$87.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5400.525$48.61−$1.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7200.705$39.17−$0.83
Will Solana reach $150 in January? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$7.80
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$7.50
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 16? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 07:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7199999942$40.00
10-28 07:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5399999976$50.00
10-28 07:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.11$22.00
10-28 07:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$32.00
08-22 09:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.3$60.00
06-19 06:44Will the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.16$3.20
06-19 06:44Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?SELL0.2$4.00
06-19 06:44Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.26$5.20
06-19 06:43Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL0.73$14.60
06-19 06:43Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?SELL0.36$18.00
06-19 06:43Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?SELL0.37$18.50
06-19 06:16Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?SELL0.073$3.65
06-19 06:16Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?SELL0.4$20.00
06-19 06:02Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.84$42.00
06-19 05:30Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?SELL0.03$1.50