nucis
0x304cf4454c73cbc8550b279f5fbd05cc406db1ca
- Realised P&L
- $-84.04
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $87.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.525 | $48.61 | −$1.39 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.705 | $39.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in January? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 16? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.00at 0.610US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.930Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$4.17at 0.590Will Solana reach $190 in May?
- +$3.02at 0.570Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$2.70at 0.690Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 07:54 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 07:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 10-28 07:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 08-22 09:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 06-19 06:44 | Will the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-19 06:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 06:44 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 06-19 06:43 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 06-19 06:43 | Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 06-19 06:43 | Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-19 06:16 | Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06? | SELL | 0.073 | $3.65 |
| 06-19 06:16 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 06:02 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 06-19 05:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |