flatten
0x3042e22cb9aa502d69ece1bcf58a1e41ef6426ee
- Realised P&L
- $-81.02
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,114
- Open portfolio
- $2.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,114
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? · Up | 0.550 | 0.590 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 18? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.345 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.085 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? · No | 0.340 | 0.090 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.075 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.82at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$3.77at 0.214Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.71at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$3.32at 0.235Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$3.13at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:15 | Solana Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:15 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $3.55 |
| 10-18 09:13 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:07 | Solana Up or Down on October 18? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.65 |
| 10-18 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:00 | Solana Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $1.27 |
| 10-18 03:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.34 |
| 10-18 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 10-18 03:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |