PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

winesom

0x3034b5a37eef3aa86c7a713185829e93510add88

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$79.8k
Markets traded
424
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded424
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1460.195$776.85+$195.86
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.235$763.69+$63.69
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3430.455$464.45+$114.45
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3170.365$287.94+$37.94
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$398.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$300.00
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$500.00
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6970.000$0.00$500.00
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$200.00
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:03Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$200.00
07-31 12:02Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2709720003$200.00
07-27 12:56Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1990726529$500.00
07-27 12:55Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999993$150.00
07-25 13:35Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.12698425$100.00
07-24 19:20Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.3169112189$250.00
07-24 12:29Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3502585424$150.00
07-24 12:24Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.342877935$350.00
07-24 12:22Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1256588226$131.00
07-23 12:44Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?SELL0.9718056949$2.1k
07-10 11:08Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.267839999$124.00
07-10 11:07Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?SELL0.0852287912$124.89
07-01 22:19Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.2615700409$452.12
06-23 13:13Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?SELL0.0722065917$177.24
06-01 11:26Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?BUY0.3909488998$500.00