PolyBot

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Traders

DGEWG

0x30304e51e54c9d3c1169e6ed93511f2aad76f819

Realised P&L
$-6.42
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$140.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9200.972$97.15+$5.15
2026 Balance of Power: Other · No0.9931.000$10.07+$0.07
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9961.000$10.03+$0.04
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22? · No0.9981.000$10.01+$0.01
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1800.125$8.33−$3.67
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0220.025$3.44+$0.44
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.135$1.76−$4.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 02:10Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1799999991$12.00
09-29 01:28Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.0217738424$3.00
06-29 02:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.92$92.00
06-29 02:59US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999678$6.00
05-21 08:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?BUY0.999$40.00
05-21 08:33Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?BUY0.999$200.00
05-21 08:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?BUY0.999$10.00
05-21 08:32Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
05-21 08:32Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?BUY0.99$10.00
05-21 08:31Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.996$10.00
05-21 08:312026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.9929999996$10.00
04-15 09:09Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?BUY0.998$258.60
04-15 09:09Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?BUY0.998$10.00
04-15 09:09Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.998$10.00
04-15 09:08Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.999$10.00