DGEWG
0x30304e51e54c9d3c1169e6ed93511f2aad76f819
- Realised P&L
- $-6.42
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $140.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.972 | $97.15 | +$5.15 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $10.03 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.125 | $8.33 | −$3.67 |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.025 | $3.44 | +$0.44 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.135 | $1.76 | −$4.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.00at 0.500Will XRP reach $2.50 November 17-23?
- +$0.48at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.44at 0.965Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.32at 0.974US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.987Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 02:10 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1799999991 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 01:28 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0217738424 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 02:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 06-29 02:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999678 | $6.00 |
| 05-21 08:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 05-21 08:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 05-21 08:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:32 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:32 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:31 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 09:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $258.60 |
| 04-15 09:09 | Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 09:09 | Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 09:08 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |