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0x302dc1d22f305c4447dc88fdc5d41d33a68395fd
- Realised P&L
- $-23.32
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $7.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.994 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.510 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.360 | $1.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.560 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.085 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.004 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.618Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30?
- +$2.84at 0.747Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?
- +$2.44at 0.668Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage
- +$2.25at 0.688Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
- +$1.68at 0.845Counter-Strike: K27 vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.973 | $2.21 |
| 10-01 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.899999685 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 22:34 | Will Miami FC win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.15 |
| 09-30 22:34 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.55 | $3.31 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.20 |
| 09-30 21:56 | Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 21:29 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 21:24 | Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.02 |
| 09-30 21:10 | Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0192299338 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:07 | Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage | SELL | 0.53 | $1.47 |
| 09-30 21:01 | Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |