0x3029d64d536810c478dfe5a2341b9978d6bbd0ba
0x3029d64d536810c478dfe5a2341b9978d6bbd0ba
- Realised P&L
- $27.68
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $69.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.555 | $19.82 | +$1.96 |
| Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5) · UCF | 0.500 | 0.505 | $19.80 | +$0.20 |
| Prado vs. Dias: Match O/U 21.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.665 | $10.90 | +$2.70 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Buccaneers | 0.500 | 0.455 | $9.68 | −$0.96 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) · Browns | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.34 | −$0.09 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.26 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak · Kamil Majchrzak | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.06 |
| Carabelli vs. Simakin: Match O/U 21.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.87 |
| Wild vs. Sabres · Wild | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton · Max Hans Rehberg | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Villena: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh · Damir Dzumhur | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.47 |
| Braga: Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut · Sumit Nagal | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.62 |
| Villena: Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez · Daniel Rincon | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.83 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina · Cameron Norrie | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.69 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers · Timberwolves | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.07at 0.500Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon
- +$13.16at 0.500Palermo: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Yanaki Milev
- +$12.71at 0.500Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State
- +$10.03at 0.500Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios
- +$9.84at 0.500Spread: Troy (-10.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:27 | Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon | SELL | 0.94 | $36.72 |
| 10-08 17:38 | Palermo: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro | SELL | 0.85 | $16.35 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:58 | Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro | SELL | 0.61 | $36.31 |
| 10-08 01:56 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.33 | $5.32 |
| 10-08 00:17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $9.67 |
| 10-08 00:16 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.33 | $4.29 |
| 10-07 03:28 | Spread: Troy (-10.5) | SELL | 0.973 | $20.27 |