MagnificentMoron
0x3024821d3a7a3ffa5f1258bab54bd906d9e6b996
- Realised P&L
- $-35.5k
- Volume
- $4.43M
- Markets traded
- 7,811
- Open portfolio
- $6.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,811
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.076Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
- +$1.4kat 0.004Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.069Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
- +$569.94at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$503.90at 0.157Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-01 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-01 15:28 | Solana Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.28 |
| 10-01 15:22 | Solana Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.27 |
| 10-01 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0281249996 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 15:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0576040137 | $2.35 |
| 10-01 15:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 10-01 15:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.0035092298 | $0.11 |
| 10-01 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0047946913 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | Solana Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.31 |
| 10-01 15:01 | Solana Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.0566091141 | $1.00 |