PolyBot

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Traders

MagnificentMoron

0x3024821d3a7a3ffa5f1258bab54bd906d9e6b996

Realised P&L
$-35.5k
Volume
$4.43M
Markets traded
7,811
Open portfolio
$6.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,811
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0020.002$2.25−$0.75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? · No0.0090.002$1.90−$7.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0100.001$1.12−$10.15
Solana Up or Down on October 1? · Up0.1030.004$0.64−$15.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0020.001$0.34−$0.84
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0130.004$0.29−$0.54
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0070.004$0.14−$0.14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.0010.001$0.03−$0.03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.0310.000$0.00−$4.78
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.0260.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.0170.000$0.00−$1.64
Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:41Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 1?SELL0.001$0.06
10-01 15:41Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?SELL0.001$0.03
10-01 15:28Solana Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.023$0.28
10-01 15:22Solana Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.05$1.27
10-01 15:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.002$1.00
10-01 15:13Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.0281249996$1.50
10-01 15:12Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.0576040137$2.35
10-01 15:06Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 1?SELL0.009$0.27
10-01 15:03Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?SELL0.0035092298$0.11
10-01 15:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.0047946913$1.00
10-01 15:01Solana Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.04$1.00
10-01 15:01Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.34$1.31
10-01 15:01Solana Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.04$1.00
10-01 15:00Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-01 14:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ETBUY0.0566091141$1.00