pmggd
0x3024712d12a75c911f8abf2a88ad44e3a4778ece
- Realised P&L
- $449.59
- Volume
- $680.4k
- Markets traded
- 9,236
- Open portfolio
- $10.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,236
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.65at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?
- +$227.45at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?
- +$192.22at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?
- +$177.00at 0.057Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?
- +$173.00at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-20 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.04 |
| 09-20 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.06 |
| 09-20 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.30 |
| 09-20 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 09-20 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-20 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-20 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 09-20 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.15 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.99 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0261111111 | $0.47 |
| 09-20 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |