pmggd
0x3024712d12a75c911f8abf2a88ad44e3a4778ece
- Realised P&L
- $543.12
- Volume
- $621.6k
- Markets traded
- 8,081
- Open portfolio
- $48.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,081
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.65at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?
- +$230.78at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?
- +$192.21at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?
- +$177.38at 0.055Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?
- +$173.00at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.08 |
| 08-05 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0424207745 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.122806912 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0761904762 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.2380952381 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.29 |
| 08-05 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.011714 | $1.17 |
| 08-05 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 08-05 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6199998016 | $3.00 |