DavidWhite3171
0x30244fd0bd355c67ba715e7d675f0119af690c79
- Realised P&L
- $452.30
- Volume
- $100.5k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $15.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.80at 0.330Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?
- +$125.63at 0.754Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$63.84at 0.860Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$45.85at 0.510Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$39.60at 0.857Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 13:35 | Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $69.56 |
| 01-11 05:29 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.80 |
| 01-10 19:27 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | SELL | 0.78 | $105.30 |
| 01-10 17:46 | Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.19 | $12.73 |
| 01-10 17:45 | Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.19 | $32.87 |
| 01-10 17:30 | Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $27.72 |
| 01-10 17:29 | Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.34 |
| 01-10 14:32 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.86 | $392.16 |
| 01-10 13:31 | Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.23 | $107.41 |
| 01-10 09:12 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | BUY | 0.827037037 | $111.65 |
| 01-10 08:23 | Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $48.00 |
| 01-10 04:42 | Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $65.12 |
| 01-10 03:35 | Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $94.72 |
| 01-09 23:58 | Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.51 | $73.95 |
| 01-09 23:57 | Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.5 | $14.50 |