PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oldshadow

0x30236b29df89a7f203c027f58f62450f5b0b465c

Realised P&L
$532.33
Volume
$65.4k
Markets traded
3,458
Open portfolio
$29.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,458
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.2151.000$9.21+$7.24
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.2501.000$8.00+$6.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.955$4.78+$2.77
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.3450.315$3.15$0.30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20? · Yes0.4000.415$2.08+$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 20? · Yes0.4000.325$1.63$0.38
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.3700.040$0.20$1.65
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19? · Yes0.3750.015$0.20$4.68
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.1860.004$0.06$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.3600.001$0.00$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.3300.001$0.00$2.64
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$2.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:33Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.22$1.76
09-18 07:34Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.31$2.48
09-18 07:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.36$1.80
09-18 07:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.25$2.00
09-18 07:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.27$2.16
09-18 06:46Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.1$1.00
09-18 06:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.32$1.60
09-18 05:57Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.83$4.15
09-18 05:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.37$1.85
09-18 05:42Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.85$4.25
09-18 05:29Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 05:26Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 20?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 05:03Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 05:02Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 05:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.4$2.00