0x3021006ef1c98fd4849c767e5be33c39cebafe1e
0x3021006ef1c98fd4849c767e5be33c39cebafe1e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.69
- Volume
- $87.58
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $5.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.950 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.989 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.965 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.450 | 0.380 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.150 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.007 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
- +$0.98at 0.510S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?
- +$0.80at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.65at 0.610Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:59 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:55 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:41 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:51 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 10:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 01:33 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:33 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:31 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:41 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:51 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |