PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x30201de2497F7Dab080be6394DAeaf8B73A458F9-1769257288386

0x30201de2497f7dab080be6394daeaf8b73a458f9

Realised P&L
$43.1k
Volume
$402.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0960.075$2.9k$824.07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3920.345$2.4k$328.68
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$699.94
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$898.22
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$99.99
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$1.3k
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00$1.0k
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$599.98
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$200.00
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$299.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 14:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$119.00
07-09 14:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$100.00
07-09 12:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0998607941$100.00
07-04 07:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.39$312.00
07-03 21:19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0783676796$500.00
07-03 21:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3984860519$800.00
07-03 21:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3899999995$500.00
07-03 21:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3899999995$500.00
07-03 21:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3899999993$300.00
07-03 21:16Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3899999993$300.00
06-21 21:19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$1.3k
06-21 21:16Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$800.00
06-21 21:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$800.00
02-28 08:03US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?SELL0.9971233396$8.8k
02-28 08:03US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?SELL0.997$5.0k