usdt318
0x301921dfa134110df03e7eba46f6318c5e5a631e
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $181.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $28.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.182Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$607.04at 0.500Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$304.73at 0.497Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$223.52at 0.023Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$186.68at 0.173Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:30 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | BUY | 0.0750859951 | $30.56 |
| 08-01 09:32 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 08-01 09:31 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $31.52 |
| 08-01 06:08 | Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | BUY | 0.0722891566 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 03:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | SELL | 0.004 | $19.03 |
| 07-31 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0014975358 | $6.94 |
| 07-31 03:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.0024209499 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 03:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.0199524148 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0024620637 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 03:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.011651836 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.0078749149 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 03:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.047976012 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 01:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0659999974 | $23.06 |
| 07-31 01:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.0297111151 | $70.00 |
| 07-30 09:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.018103024 | $7.54 |