PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

usdt318

0x301921dfa134110df03e7eba46f6318c5e5a631e

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$181.5k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$28.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? · Yes0.0750.070$28.49$2.07
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 28? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$65.00
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$10.00
Algeria leading at halftime? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:30Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?BUY0.0750859951$30.56
08-01 09:32Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?SELL0.07$1.47
08-01 09:31Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?SELL0.08$31.52
08-01 06:08Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?BUY0.0722891566$30.00
08-01 03:30Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?SELL0.004$19.03
07-31 03:16Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.0014975358$6.94
07-31 03:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?BUY0.0024209499$10.00
07-31 03:13Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.0199524148$20.00
07-31 03:12Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?BUY0.0024620637$10.00
07-31 03:11Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.011651836$20.00
07-31 03:09Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.0078749149$20.00
07-31 03:08Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?BUY0.047976012$100.00
07-31 01:51Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.0659999974$23.06
07-31 01:49Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?BUY0.0297111151$70.00
07-30 09:51Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.018103024$7.54