PolyBot

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Traders

goldbuyer

0x300ec114345975af5f6f974d1a3f5f6bc98c8f1c

Realised P&L
$-197.58
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$10.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.1400.145$10.36+$0.36
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$20.00
Türkiye to score first vs. United States? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump and JD Vance not shake hands during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address? · No0.4700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5720.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.4650.000$0.00$20.00
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? · No0.7590.000$0.00$50.00
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing? · No0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March? · No0.6070.000$0.00$40.00
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February? · No0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address? · No0.6100.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.5110.000$0.00$10.70
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$99.00
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$13.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 19:21Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5724999808$10.00
07-11 19:21Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2374999918$20.00
07-11 19:16Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999944$10.00
07-08 22:33Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?BUY0.5$20.00
07-08 22:30Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-26 01:23Türkiye to score first vs. United States?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
06-26 01:23Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
03-14 00:46Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.3274856362$99.00
03-14 00:43Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.8$100.00
03-06 07:07Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?BUY0.6072538355$40.00
03-03 07:42Will Claude go down 3-4 times in March?BUY0.3494178674$50.00
03-03 07:37Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY0.5614385091$10.00
03-03 07:33Will Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.5722968685$10.00
03-03 07:32Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
02-24 06:52Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?BUY0.1287168126$10.00