pixelVixen
0x300db2f79354774c1b75e750d64bd6d7b2f1674c
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $400.7k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $924.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.992 | 0.994 | $904.09 | +$1.37 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.993 | 0.994 | $20.86 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.991 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$781.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.22at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$143.03at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$140.36at 0.970Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?
- +$122.51at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?
- +$122.01at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $15.89 |
| 10-01 07:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 09-30 14:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $897.76 |
| 09-30 14:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 09-25 12:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $715.40 |
| 09-25 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.3k |
| 09-25 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.994 | $331.00 |
| 09-22 06:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $212.20 |
| 09-18 05:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $976.14 |
| 09-18 05:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $483.14 |
| 09-18 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $493.00 |
| 09-14 07:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.985 | $492.50 |
| 09-10 10:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $256.41 |
| 09-10 10:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.989 | $197.80 |
| 09-09 10:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.979 | $489.50 |