pixelVixen
0x300db2f79354774c1b75e750d64bd6d7b2f1674c
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $336.0k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.987 | 0.993 | $7.8k | +$45.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.993 | 0.996 | $2.0k | +$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.976 | 0.972 | $680.05 | −$3.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.22at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$145.59at 0.982Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$145.42at 0.969Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?
- +$124.81at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?
- +$122.01at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.976 | $683.20 |
| 08-03 15:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.986 | $845.00 |
| 07-29 06:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.1k |
| 07-29 06:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.972 | $490.86 |
| 07-29 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.971 | $876.81 |
| 07-29 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.9k |
| 07-28 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.966 | $764.11 |
| 07-28 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $245.77 |
| 07-28 14:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.989 | $207.69 |
| 07-28 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.989 | $298.68 |
| 07-28 06:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.2k |
| 07-28 06:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.98469375 | $1.6k |
| 07-25 13:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $35.28 |
| 07-25 13:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.2k |
| 07-25 13:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.979 | $233.98 |