PolyBot

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Traders

wastedgg

0x300beb9eb1b3b6aff377c4d0172e92efb9cb8e51

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
1,179
Open portfolio
$218.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,179
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 8.5 · Over0.0150.449$134.70+$130.20
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2700.300$30.00+$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.1680.230$28.21+$7.59
Nicaragua vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over0.1680.160$24.00−$1.23
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.75−$2.25
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.75−$2.25
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over0.1800.001$0.05−$17.95
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.2200.001$0.05−$21.95
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage · Sinners0.3400.000$0.00−$170.00
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.1320.000$0.00−$66.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$4.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$50.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00−$88.57
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$85.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 22:50Nicaragua vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.1682$25.23
10-01 21:57Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 8.5BUY0.015$4.50
10-01 21:37Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.22$22.00
10-01 21:36Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.18$18.00
10-01 21:16Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.18$9.00
10-01 21:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.16$10.82
10-01 20:29Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.16$9.60
10-01 20:11Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5BUY0.27$8.10
10-01 19:34Greece vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5SELL0.998$69.86
10-01 19:30Germany vs. Serbia: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.1$2.00
10-01 19:29Greece vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.13$2.60
10-01 19:06Germany vs. Serbia: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.29$10.15
10-01 17:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.15$7.80
10-01 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-01 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00