fizzwont
0x300317934bfe0cc8740affc7425b0cd3772530f5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 859
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded859
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.425 | $78.72 | +$3.72 |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.445 | 0.435 | $73.32 | −$1.68 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Jai Herbert | 0.370 | 0.355 | $72.01 | −$2.99 |
| UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Melissa Gatto | 0.540 | 0.515 | $71.58 | −$3.42 |
| Spread: Louisville (-6.5) · Louisville | 0.430 | 0.400 | $69.77 | −$5.23 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Ravens | 0.540 | 0.535 | $55.48 | −$0.52 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.360 | 0.465 | $48.44 | +$10.94 |
| Vikings vs. Saints · Vikings | 0.510 | 0.545 | $40.07 | +$2.57 |
| Spread: Florida (-13.5) · South Carolina | 0.490 | 0.520 | $39.80 | +$2.30 |
| Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.515 | $39.41 | +$1.91 |
| Georgia vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.500 | 0.525 | $39.38 | +$1.88 |
| Central Michigan vs. Ohio · Central Michigan | 0.420 | 0.430 | $38.39 | +$0.89 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · 49ers | 0.460 | 0.465 | $37.91 | +$0.41 |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) · Arizona | 0.480 | 0.485 | $37.89 | +$0.39 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.485 | $37.12 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.89at 0.412Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$102.38at 0.512Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
- +$99.43at 0.3281st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
- +$91.53at 0.454Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
- +$89.60at 0.462Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-17.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 07:44 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $56.00 |
| 10-06 06:50 | Iowa vs. Washington | BUY | 0.4 | $37.50 |
| 10-06 04:18 | Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.4899999952 | $37.50 |
| 10-06 02:39 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 22:14 | Spread: Arizona (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 20:41 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 20:23 | Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.4989342764 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 19:41 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 19:07 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 18:23 | Spread: Illinois (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5385638269 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 17:43 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 17:20 | Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4899999952 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 17:20 | Islanders vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 17:07 | Senators vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.4899999952 | $37.50 |
| 10-05 15:05 | Spread: Stars (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $37.50 |