0x2fFcB73a63F3EEEc05128320759bDF503593C66F-1773570748749
0x2ffcb73a63f3eeec05128320759bdf503593c66f
- Realised P&L
- $-654.43
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 413
- Open portfolio
- $19.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded413
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.12at 0.359Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?
- +$163.91at 0.797Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 12?
- +$148.34at 0.724Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?
- +$138.35at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?
- +$124.18at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.1994463668 | $16.14 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5896714662 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5671641774 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 05:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.0191575092 | $0.10 |
| 09-23 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4275026475 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4480397812 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 19:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4571971983 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3879477514 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.92 |
| 09-22 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.692609846 | $10.00 |