0x2fFcB73a63F3EEEc05128320759bDF503593C66F-1773570748749
0x2ffcb73a63f3eeec05128320759bdf503593c66f
- Realised P&L
- $-78.80
- Volume
- $57.1k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $54.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.75at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?
- +$170.22at 0.369Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 12?
- +$158.17at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?
- +$149.73at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?
- +$126.88at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5046906458 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.995 | $82.60 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7865914157 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6537078657 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $33.37 |
| 08-04 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.44 | $19.27 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4545162498 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 23:54 | Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone | SELL | 0.999 | $19.77 |
| 08-03 23:26 | National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce | SELL | 0.12 | $2.38 |