FrederickColeman578
0x2ff8f53606d4ec59606f09c86b0823bb67d928e7
- Realised P&L
- $3.79
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $47.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $31.04 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $16.69 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.98at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 17?
- +$9.76at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 17?
- +$9.76at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on April 19?
- +$9.66at 0.749Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on April 23?
- +$9.55at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.70 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.10 |
| 09-13 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989999297 | $14.00 |
| 09-11 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.50 |
| 09-10 19:37 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.10 |
| 09-07 16:41 | Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.10 |
| 09-06 06:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9979999589 | $16.30 |
| 09-06 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.50 |
| 09-05 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.41 |
| 09-04 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999815 | $20.60 |
| 09-04 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999923 | $34.70 |
| 09-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.30 |
| 09-04 11:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 4? | BUY | 0.997999939 | $14.50 |
| 09-04 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.20 |
| 09-03 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.998999933 | $10.30 |