cambelutz
0x2fe448af2f3514f9f4b163c3673ac7580399e1c0
- Realised P&L
- $-481.89
- Volume
- $73.3k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.80at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$71.80at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$70.59at 0.092Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?
- +$66.10at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$66.10at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.041 | $2.46 |
| 10-14 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 10-14 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 10-14 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-14 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.38 |
| 10-14 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.38 |
| 10-14 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.38 |
| 10-13 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-13 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.0058 | $0.23 |
| 10-11 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 10-11 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.0028752188 | $0.11 |
| 10-08 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.011691 | $0.47 |
| 09-16 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 09-14 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |