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Traders

cambelutz

0x2fe448af2f3514f9f4b163c3673ac7580399e1c0

Realised P&L
$-481.89
Volume
$73.3k
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$0.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.0070.001$0.10−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 15? · Yes0.0350.001$0.06−$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 15? · Yes0.0390.001$0.06−$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.0310.001$0.04−$2.75
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.1840.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 3? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down0.0860.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down0.1560.000$0.00−$10.00
Will FK Rukh Lviv win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 16? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 00:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.041$2.46
10-14 09:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 14?BUY0.004$0.05
10-14 09:08Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 14?BUY0.003$0.20
10-14 08:49Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?BUY0.002$0.04
10-14 08:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.069$1.38
10-14 08:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.069$1.38
10-14 08:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.069$1.38
10-13 07:22Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?SELL0.001$0.02
10-13 06:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?SELL0.0058$0.23
10-11 08:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.002$0.12
10-11 08:03Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11?SELL0.0028752188$0.11
10-08 14:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?SELL0.011691$0.47
09-16 02:19Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.13$2.60
09-15 08:12Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on September 15?BUY0.007$2.10
09-14 20:44Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 15?SELL0.002$0.03
Trader cambelutz · PolyBot Pro